{"id":31319,"date":"2026-02-08T17:59:27","date_gmt":"2026-02-08T17:59:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/cigarette-market-mordor\/"},"modified":"2026-10-16T14:40:31","modified_gmt":"2026-10-16T05:40:31","slug":"cigarette-market-mordor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/cigarette-market-mordor\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc138\uacc4\uc758 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uaddc\ubaa8 \ubc0f \uc810\uc720\uc728 \ubd84\uc11d &#8211; \uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ud5a5 \ubc0f \uc804\ub9dd (2026\ub144 &#8211; 2031\ub144)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/cigarette-market-1752390983159-major-players.webp\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"aligncenter size-full\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/cigarette-market-size-image-1767093227759.webp\" alt=\"Chart\" class=\"aligncenter size-full\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"toc-level-1 toc-content-heading\" id=\"toc-content-heading-0\">1. \uc11c\ub860<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">1.1 \uc5f0\uad6c \uac00\uc815 \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc815\uc758<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">1.2 \uc5f0\uad6c \ubc94\uc704<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"toc-level-1 toc-content-heading\" id=\"toc-content-heading-1\">2. \uc5f0\uad6c \ubc29\ubc95\ub860<\/p>\n<p class=\"toc-level-1 toc-content-heading\" id=\"toc-content-heading-2\">3. \uc694\uc57d<\/p>\n<p class=\"toc-level-1 toc-content-heading\" id=\"toc-content-heading-3\">4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud658\uacbd<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">4.1 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc694<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">4.2 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub3d9\uc778\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.2.1 \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \uc911\ub3c5\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ucda9\uc131\ub3c4<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.2.2 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\ud654 \ucd94\uc138 \uc99d\uac00<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.2.3 \uc2e0\ud765 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uac00\ucc98\ubd84 \uc18c\ub4dd \uc99d\uac00<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.2.4 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uae30\uc220 \ubc1c\uc804<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.2.5 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc778 \ub9c8\ucf00\ud305 \ubc0f \ub610\ub798 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub808\ub2c8\uc5bc \uc138\ub300 \uc218\uc694 \uc720\uc9c0<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.2.6 \ud5c8\ube0c \ubc0f \ubb34\ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \ud5a5\ub8cc \ub3c4\uc785<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">4.3 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc81c\uc57d\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.3.1 \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \uc0c1\ud55c\uc81c \ubc0f \uc77c\ubc18 \ud3ec\uc7a5\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc5c4\uaca9\ud55c \uaddc\uc81c<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.3.2 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac74\uac15 \uc778\uc2dd<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.3.3 \uc804\uc790\ub2f4\ubc30\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ubb34\uc5f0 \ub300\uc548\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc804\ud658<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.3.4 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uacf5\uc911 \ubcf4\uac74 \ucea0\ud398\uc778<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">4.4 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \ubd84\uc11d<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">4.5 \uaddc\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">4.6 \ud3ec\ud130\uc758 5\uac00\uc9c0 \uacbd\uc7c1 \uc694\uc778\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.6.1 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc9c4\uc785\uc790\uc758 \uc704\ud611<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.6.2 \uad6c\ub9e4\uc790\/\uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc758 \uad50\uc12d\ub825<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.6.3 \uacf5\uae09\uc5c5\uccb4\uc758 \uad50\uc12d\ub825<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.6.4 \ub300\uccb4 \uc81c\ud488\uc758 \uc704\ud611<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">4.6.5 \uacbd\uc7c1 \uac15\ub3c4<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"toc-level-1 toc-content-heading\" id=\"toc-content-heading-4\">5. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uaddc\ubaa8 \ubc0f \uc131\uc7a5 \uc608\uce21 (\uac00\uce58)<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">5.1 \ub9db \uc885\ub958\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.1.1 \ub9db \ucca8\uac00<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.1.2 \ub9db \ubb34\ucca8\uac00<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">5.2 \ud615\uc2dd\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.2.1 \uc2ac\ub9bc<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.2.2 \uc288\ud37c \uc2ac\ub9bc<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.2.3 \ud0b9\uc0ac\uc774\uc988<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.2.4 \uc77c\ubc18<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">5.3 \uce74\ud14c\uace0\ub9ac\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.3.1 \ub300\uc911<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.3.2 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">5.4 \ucd5c\uc885 \uc0ac\uc6a9\uc790\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.4.1 \ub0a8\uc131<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.4.2 \uc5ec\uc131<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">5.5 \uc720\ud1b5 \ucc44\ub110\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.5.1 \ud3b8\uc758\uc810\/\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\uc810<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.5.2 \uc804\ubb38\uc810<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.5.3 \uc628\ub77c\uc778 \uc18c\ub9e4\uc810<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.5.4 \uae30\ud0c0 \uc720\ud1b5 \ucc44\ub110<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">5.6 \uc9c0\ub9ac\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.6.1 \ubd81\ubbf8<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.1.1 \ubbf8\uad6d<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.1.2 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.1.3 \uba55\uc2dc\ucf54<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.1.4 \ubd81\ubbf8 \uae30\ud0c0 \uc9c0\uc5ed<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.6.2 \uc720\ub7fd<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.2.1 \ub3c5\uc77c<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.2.2 \uc601\uad6d<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.2.3 \uc774\ud0c8\ub9ac\uc544<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.2.4 \ud504\ub791\uc2a4<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.2.5 \uc2a4\ud398\uc778<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.2.6 \ub124\ub35c\ub780\ub4dc<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.2.7 \ud3f4\ub780\ub4dc<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.2.8 \ubca8\uae30\uc5d0<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.2.9 \uc2a4\uc6e8\ub374<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.2.10 \uc720\ub7fd \uae30\ud0c0 \uc9c0\uc5ed<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.6.3 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.3.1 \uc911\uad6d<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.3.2 \uc778\ub3c4<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.3.3 \uc77c\ubcf8<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.3.4 \ud638\uc8fc<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.3.5 \uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.3.6 \ub300\ud55c\ubbfc\uad6d<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.3.7 \ud0dc\uad6d<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.3.8 \uc2f1\uac00\ud3ec\ub974<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.3.9 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \uae30\ud0c0 \uc9c0\uc5ed<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.6.4 \ub0a8\ubbf8<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.4.1 \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.4.2 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.4.3 \ucf5c\ub86c\ube44\uc544<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.4.4 \uce60\ub808<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.4.5 \ud398\ub8e8<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">5.6.5 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubc0f \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.5.1 \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.5.2 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.5.3 \uc544\ub78d\uc5d0\ubbf8\ub9ac\ud2b8<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.5.4 \ub098\uc774\uc9c0\ub9ac\uc544<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.5.5 \uc774\uc9d1\ud2b8<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.5.6 \ubaa8\ub85c\ucf54<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.5.7 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-4\">5.6.5.8 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubc0f \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74 \uae30\ud0c0 \uc9c0\uc5ed<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"toc-level-1 toc-content-heading\" id=\"toc-content-heading-5\">6. \uacbd\uc7c1 \ud658\uacbd<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">6.1 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9d1\uc911\ub3c4<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">6.2 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">6.3 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc21c\uc704 \ubd84\uc11d<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-2\">6.4 \uae30\uc5c5 \ud504\ub85c\ud544 (\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uac1c\uc694, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc694, \ud575\uc2ec \ubd80\ubb38, \uc7ac\ubb34 \uc815\ubcf4(\uc0ac\uc6a9 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uacbd\uc6b0), \uc804\ub7b5 \uc815\ubcf4, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc21c\uc704\/\uc810\uc720\uc728, \uc81c\ud488 \ubc0f \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4, \ucd5c\uadfc \uac1c\ubc1c \ud3ec\ud568)\n<ul>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.1 \uc911\uad6d\uad6d\uac00\uc5f0\ucd08\uacf5\uc0ac<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.2 \ud544\ub9bd\ubaa8\ub9ac\uc2a4 \uc778\ud130\ub0b4\uc154\ub110<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.3 \ube0c\ub9ac\ud2f0\uc26c \uc544\uba54\ub9ac\uce78 \ud1a0\ubc14\ucf54 PLC<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.4 \uc77c\ubcf8\ub2f4\ubc30 \uc778\ud130\ub0b4\uc154\ub110<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.5 \uc784\ud398\ub9ac\uc5bc \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc PLC<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.6 \uc54c\ud2b8\ub9ac\uc544 \uadf8\ub8f9 Inc.<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.7 ITC \ub9ac\ubbf8\ud2f0\ub4dc<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.8 KT&amp;G Corp.<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.9 \uad6c\ub2f9 \uac00\ub78c Tbk<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.10 \uc790\ub8f8 \uadf8\ub8f9<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.11 22\uc138\uae30 \uadf8\ub8f9<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.12 \ub300\ub9cc \ub2f4\ubc30 \ubc0f \uc8fc\ub958 \uacf5\uc0ac<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.13 VST \uc778\ub354\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\uc988 Ltd.<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.14 \uace0\ub4dc\ud504\ub9ac \ud544\ub9bd\uc2a4 \uc778\ub3c4 Ltd.<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.15 \ubca1\ud130 \uadf8\ub8f9 Ltd.<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.16 \uc2a4\uce78\ub514\ub098\ube44\uc544 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uadf8\ub8f9<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.17 \uc2a4\ubb34\uc5b4 \uc778\ud130\ub0b4\uc154\ub110 \ud640\ub529\uc2a4<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.18 \ubca0\ud2b8\ub0a8 \uad6d\uc601 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uacf5\uc0ac<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.19 PT \uc704\uc2a4\ubc00\ub77d \uc778\ud2f0 \ub9c9\ubb34\ub974<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.20 \ubd88\uac00\ub974\ud0c0\ubc15 \ud640\ub529 AD<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.21 \uc774\uc2a4\ud134 \ucef4\ud37c\ub2c8 S.A.E.<\/li>\n<li class=\"toc-level-3\">6.4.22 \uce74\ub810\ub9ac\uc544 \ub2f4\ubc30 \ucef4\ud37c\ub2c8 Inc.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"toc-level-1 toc-content-heading\" id=\"toc-content-heading-6\">7. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ud68c \ubc0f \ubbf8\ub798 \uc804\ub9dd<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc694: 2026-2031\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ud5a5 \ubc0f \uc608\uce21 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c<\/p>\n<p>\ubcf8 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 2021\ub144\ubd80\ud130 2031\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\uba70, \ub9db \uc720\ud615(\uac00\ud5a5 \ubc0f \uc77c\ubc18), \ud615\uc2dd(\uc2ac\ub9bc, \uc288\ud37c \uc2ac\ub9bc, \ud0b9\uc0ac\uc774\uc988, \ub808\uade4\ub7ec), \uce74\ud14c\uace0\ub9ac(\ub300\uc911 \ubc0f \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4), \ucd5c\uc885 \uc0ac\uc6a9\uc790(\ub0a8\uc131 \ubc0f \uc5ec\uc131), \uc720\ud1b5 \ucc44\ub110(\ud3b8\uc758\uc810\/\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\uc810 \ub4f1), \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc9c0\uc5ed(\ubd81\ubbf8, \uc720\ub7fd, \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591, \ub0a8\ubbf8, \uc911\ub3d9 \ubc0f \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74)\ubcc4\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc138\ubd84\ud654\ud558\uc5ec USD \uac00\uce58 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uce21\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p># \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uaddc\ubaa8 \ubc0f \uc131\uc7a5\ub960<\/p>\n<p>\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 7,708\uc5b5 9\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 2031\ub144 8,212\uc5b5 1\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub418\uba70, \uc608\uce21 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960(CAGR) 2.25%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \uc758\uc874\uc131\uacfc \uc2e0\ud765 \uacbd\uc81c\uad6d\uc758 \uacac\uace0\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uae30\ubc18 \ub355\ubd84\uc5d0 \uc218\uc694 \ud0c4\ub825\uc131\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uace0\uc18c\ub4dd \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \uaddc\uc81c \uac15\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc740 \uac00\ucc98\ubd84 \uc18c\ub4dd \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\ub294 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac\ub9e4\uae40\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74, \uc720\ub7fd, \ubd81\ubbf8, \ud638\uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uc18c\ube44\uc138\uc640 \ubb34\uc9c0 \ud3ec\uc7a5 \uc758\ubb34\ud654\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub9c8\uc9c4 \uc555\ubc15\uc774 \uac00\uc911\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d, \uc77c\ubcf8, \uc11c\uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\ud654 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uac00\uce58 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ud558\uba70 \uc131\uc219 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9 \uac10\uc18c\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c, \uc790\ub3d9\ud654, \ucd94\uc801 \ubc0f \ucd94\uc801 \uae30\uc220, \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \ud1b5\ud569\uc740 \uae30\uc874 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc808\uac10\ud558\uace0 \uacbd\uc7c1 \uc6b0\uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uae30\uc5ec\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p># \uc8fc\uc694 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uc694\uc57d<\/p>\n<p>*   \ub9db \uc720\ud615\ubcc4: 2025\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \uc77c\ubc18 \ub2f4\ubc30\uac00 \uc804\uccb4 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9\uc758 85.24%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801\uc778 \uc704\uce58\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac00\ud5a5 \ub2f4\ubc30\ub294 2031\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 3.45%\uc758 CAGR\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br \/>\n*   \ud615\uc2dd\ubcc4: 2025\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \ud0b9\uc0ac\uc774\uc988 \ub2f4\ubc30\uac00 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9\uc758 52.38%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc288\ud37c \uc2ac\ub9bc \ud615\uc2dd\uc740 3.32%\uc758 CAGR\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br \/>\n*   \uce74\ud14c\uace0\ub9ac\ubcc4: 2025\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \ub300\uc911 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc81c\ud488\uc774 \uc804\uccb4 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc758 90.28%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ubd80\ubb38\uc740 4.02%\uc758 CAGR\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br \/>\n*   \ucd5c\uc885 \uc0ac\uc6a9\uc790\ubcc4: 2025\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \ub0a8\uc131\uc774 \uc804\uccb4 \uc18c\ube44\ub7c9\uc758 84.56%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uc131\uc740 3.38%\uc758 CAGR\ub85c \uac00\uc7a5 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc9d1\ub2e8\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br \/>\n*   \uc720\ud1b5 \ucc44\ub110\ubcc4: 2025\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \ud3b8\uc758\uc810 \ubc0f \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\uc810\uc774 45.57%\uc758 \uc810\uc720\uc728\ub85c \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uc73c\ub098, \uc628\ub77c\uc778 \uc18c\ub9e4\ub294 3.22%\uc758 CAGR\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br \/>\n*   \uc9c0\uc5ed\ubcc4: 2025\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc774 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc758 48.26%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 3.47%\uc758 CAGR\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p># \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ud5a5 \ubc0f \ud1b5\ucc30\ub825<\/p>\n<p>\uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ub825:<\/p>\n<p>1.  \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \uc911\ub3c5\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uacac\uace0\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ucda9\uc131\ub3c4 (CAGR\uc5d0 +0.6% \uc601\ud5a5): \uc7a5\uae30 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc18c\ube44\uc138\uac00 20~30% \uc778\uc0c1\ub418\uc5b4\ub3c4 \ub9e4\uc77c \ud761\uc5f0\uc790\uc758 70~80%\ub294 \uc18c\ube44 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4\uc758 \uc911\ub3c5\uc131 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud761\uc5f0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubb38\ud654\uc801 \uc218\uc6a9\uacfc \uae08\uc5f0 \uc9c0\uc6d0 \ubd80\uc871\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uae08\uc5f0 \uc2dc\ub3c4 \ud6c4 1\ub144 \uc774\ub0b4 \uc7ac\ubc1c\ub960\uc774 85%\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd \uc5f0\ud569\uc758 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc81c\ud488 \uc9c0\uce68(Tobacco Products Directive)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac74\uac15 \uacbd\uace0\uac00 \ub2f4\ubc30\uac11 \ud45c\uba74\uc758 65%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud568\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, 2020\ub144\uc5d0\uc11c 2025\ub144 \uc0ac\uc774 EU \ub2f4\ubc30 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9\uc740 \uc5f0\uac04 1.8% \uac10\uc18c\uc5d0 \uadf8\uccd0 \uc2dc\uac01\uc801 \uc5b5\uc81c\ucc45\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ubbf8\ubbf8\ud568\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 2022\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc18c\ub9e4 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 15% \uc778\uc0c1\ub418\uc5c8\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 35~54\uc138 \ub0a8\uc131 \ud761\uc5f0\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub9e4\uc77c 14.2\uac1c\ube44\ub97c \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uc18c\ube44\ud558\uc5ec \ud575\uc2ec \uc0ac\uc6a9\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ud0c4\ub825\uc131\uc774 \uac70\uc758 \uc5c6\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud655\uace0\ud55c \ucda9\uc131\ub3c4\ub294 \ub2f4\ubc30 \ud68c\uc0ac\uc5d0 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud604\uae08 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc7a5\ud558\uba70, \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \uc8fc\uc694 \uc218\uc775\uc6d0\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc704\ud574 \uc800\uac10 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2.  \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\ud654 \ucd94\uc138 \uc99d\uac00 (CAGR\uc5d0 +0.4% \uc601\ud5a5): \uc911\uad6d, \uc77c\ubcf8, \uc11c\uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \ubd80\uc720\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ud329\ub2f9 8\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub2f4\ubc30 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \uc9c0\uc704\uc640 \uc778\uc9c0\ub41c \ud488\uc9c8\uacfc \uc5f0\uad00 \uc9d3\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc, \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub2f4\ubc30 \ubd80\ubb38\uc740 \uc804\uccb4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc758 \uac70\uc758 \ub450 \ubc30\uc778 \uc5f0\uac04 4.02%\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \ud544\ub9bd\ubaa8\ub9ac\uc2a4 \uc778\ud130\ub0b4\uc154\ub110(PMI)\uc758 \ub9d0\ubcf4\ub85c \uace8\ub4dc(Marlboro Gold) \ubc0f \ud314\ub9ac\uc544\uba58\ud2b8(Parliament) \ub77c\uc778\uc740 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c 6.3%\uc758 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\ub85c \uc0c1\ud558\uc774, \ub3c4\ucfc4, \uc11c\uc6b8\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ub3c4\uc2dc\uc758 \uc804\ubb38\uc9c1 \uc885\uc0ac\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc81c\ud488\uc744 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud0c0\ub974 \ud568\ub7c9\uacfc \uc6b0\uc218\ud55c \ub9db\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\uc2dd\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub9ac\ud2f0\uc2dc \uc544\uba54\ub9ac\uce78 \ud1a0\ubc14\ucf54(BAT)\uc758 \ub358\ud790(Dunhill) \ubc0f \ub85c\uc2a4\ub9cc(Rothmans) \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc\ub3c4 2023\ub144 18%\uc5d0\uc11c 2025\ub144 22%\ub85c \uc720\ub7fd \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ubd80\ubb38 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\uc0b0 \uac15\uc870\uc640 \ud55c\uc815\ud310 \ud3ec\uc7a5 \ub3c4\uc785\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2ec\uc131\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \ub300\uc911 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc81c\ud488\ubcf4\ub2e4 40~50% \ub192\uc740 \uac00\uaca9 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>3.  \uc2e0\ud765 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uac00\ucc98\ubd84 \uc18c\ub4dd \uc99d\uac00 (CAGR\uc5d0 +0.5% \uc601\ud5a5): \uc778\ub3c4, \uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544, \ubca0\ud2b8\ub0a8, \uc0ac\ud558\ub77c \uc774\ub0a8 \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac00\ucc98\ubd84 \uc18c\ub4dd \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub9e4\ub144 1,500\ub9cc~2,000\ub9cc \uba85\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ud761\uc5f0\uc790\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc720\uc785\ub418\uc5b4 OECD \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \uac10\uc18c\uc138\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc138\uacc4\uc740\ud589 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc778\ub3c4\uc758 \uac00\uad6c \uc18c\ub4dd\uc740 2024\ub144 \uc2e4\uc9c8 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 6.8% \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uc5ec \uc911\ud558\uc704\uce35 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ube44\ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc \ube44\ub514(beedis)\ub098 \uc78e\ub2f4\ubc30\uc5d0\uc11c \ud329\ub2f9 350~400\ub8e8\ud53c(4.20~4.80\ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc758 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc \ub2f4\ubc30\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc778\ub3c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uccb4\uc778 ITC Limited\ub294 2025\ub144 \uc5f0\ub840 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uace8\ub4dc \ud50c\ub808\uc774\ud06c \ud0b9\uc2a4(Gold Flake Kings) \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc\uac00 2, 3\uc120 \ub3c4\uc2dc\uc5d0\uc11c 230\ub9cc \uba85\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc0ac\uc6a9\uc790\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 1\uc778\ub2f9 GDP\ub294 2025\ub144 5,240\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc18c\ube44 \uc99d\uac00\uc640 \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc218\uc900\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>4.  \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uae30\uc220 \ubc1c\uc804 (CAGR\uc5d0 +0.2% \uc601\ud5a5): \uc8fc\uc694 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uccb4\ub4e4\uc740 \uba38\uc2e0 \ube44\uc804 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uacfc \ub85c\ubd07 \ud578\ub4e4\ub9c1\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ub2f4\ubc30 \ubd09 \uc9c1\uacbd\uacfc \ud544\ud130 \ubd80\ucc29\uc5d0\uc11c \uc11c\ube0c \ubc00\ub9ac\ubbf8\ud130 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4\ub97c \ub2ec\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud3d0\uae30\ubb3c\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0 ISO 3402 \ud45c\uc900 \uc900\uc218\ub97c \ubcf4\uc7a5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucf54\uadf8\ub125\uc2a4(Cognex Corporation)\uc758 \ube44\uc804 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc740 \uc911\uad6d, \ub3c5\uc77c, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc694 \uacf5\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub110\ub9ac \uc801\uc6a9\ub418\uc5b4 \ubd84\ub2f9 20,000\uac1c\ube44 \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uc2e4\uc2dc\uac04 \uacb0\ud568 \uac10\uc9c0\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uac8c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud601\uc2e0\uc73c\ub85c \ubd88\ub7c9\ub960\uc774 1.2%\uc5d0\uc11c 0.4%\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uc5ec \uc2dc\uc124\ub2f9 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc57d 200\ub9cc~300\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc808\uac10 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \uac00\uc838\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>5.  \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc778 \ub9c8\ucf00\ud305 \ubc0f \ub610\ub798 \uc601\ud5a5 (CAGR\uc5d0 +0.3% \uc601\ud5a5): \ub3d9\ub0a8\uc544\uc2dc\uc544, \ub77c\ud2f4 \uc544\uba54\ub9ac\uce74, \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc00\ub808\ub2c8\uc5bc \uc138\ub300 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uae30\uc5ec\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>6.  \ud5c8\ube0c \ubc0f \ubb34\ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \ub9db \ub3c4\uc785 (CAGR\uc5d0 +0.2% \uc601\ud5a5): \ubd81\ubbf8, \uc720\ub7fd, \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \ub3c4\uc2dc \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce69\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc81c\uc57d \uc694\uc778:<\/p>\n<p>1.  \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \uc0c1\ud55c\uc120 \ubc0f \ubb34\uc9c0 \ud3ec\uc7a5\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc5c4\uaca9\ud55c \uaddc\uc81c (CAGR\uc5d0 -0.5% \uc601\ud5a5): \ubb34\uc9c0 \ud3ec\uc7a5 \uc758\ubb34\ud654\uc640 \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \ud568\ub7c9 \uc0c1\ud55c\uc120\uc740 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc9c0\ud0f1\ud574 \uc628 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 4\uc6d4, \ud638\uc8fc\ub294 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \ub2f4\ubc30\uac11\uc5d0 \ud45c\uc900\ud654\ub41c \uc62c\ub9ac\ube0c \ube0c\ub77c\uc6b4 \uc0c9\uc0c1\uacfc \ud1b5\uc77c\ub41c \uc11c\uccb4\ub97c \uc694\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \ub2f4\ubc30 \ubb34\uc9c0 \ud3ec\uc7a5\ubc95\uc744 \ud655\uc815\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc758 \uaddc\uc81c\ub294 2025\ub144 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uc2dc\ud589\ub418\uc5b4 \ud3ec\uc7a5 \uc678\uc5d0 \uac1c\ubcc4 \ub2f4\ubc30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uac74\uac15 \uacbd\uace0\ub97c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \uc694\uad6c\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dd\ud488\uc758\uc57d\uad6d(FDA)\uc758 \uadf8\ub7a8\ub2f9 0.7\ubc00\ub9ac\uadf8\ub7a8\uc758 \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \uc0c1\ud55c\uc120 \uc81c\uc548\uc774 \uc2b9\uc778\ub418\uba74, \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uccb4\ub294 \ube14\ub80c\ub4dc\ub97c \uc7ac\uad6c\uc131\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc \ucda9\uc131\ub3c4\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 \uac10\uac01\uc801 \ub9cc\uc871\ub3c4\ub97c \uac10\uc18c\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2.  \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac74\uac15 \uc778\uc2dd (CAGR\uc5d0 -0.3% \uc601\ud5a5): \uace0\uc18c\ub4dd \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \uc815\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc6d0 \uae08\uc5f0 \ucea0\ud398\uc778\uc740 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub798\ud53d \uac74\uac15 \uacbd\uace0\uc640 \uae08\uc5f0 \uc9c0\uc6d0 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 \uc5f0\uac04 \ud761\uc5f0\uc728\uc740 1.5%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.5% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uad6d\uac00 \ub2f4\ubc30 \ucea0\ud398\uc778\uc740 2024-2025\ub144\uc5d0 5\ucc9c\ub9cc \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec(3\ucc9c3\ubc31\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec)\ub97c \ud22c\uc790\ud558\uc5ec \ud154\ub808\ube44\uc804 \uad11\uace0\uc640 \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \ub300\uccb4 \uc694\ubc95 \ubcf4\uc870\uae08\uc744 \uacb0\ud569\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc, 2025\ub144 \uc131\uc778 \ud761\uc5f0\uc728\uc774 2.1% \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uac10\uc18c\ud55c 9.8%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>3.  \uc804\uc790\ub2f4\ubc30\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ubb34\uc5f0 \ub300\uccb4\ud488\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc804\ud658 (CAGR\uc5d0 -0.4% \uc601\ud5a5): \ubd81\ubbf8, \uc720\ub7fd, \uc77c\ubcf8, \ud55c\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce69\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>4.  \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uacf5\uc911 \ubcf4\uac74 \ucea0\ud398\uc778 (CAGR\uc5d0 -0.2% \uc601\ud5a5): \ud638\uc8fc, \uc601\uad6d, \uc2a4\uce78\ub514\ub098\ube44\uc544\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\uba70, \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8, \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p># \uc138\uadf8\uba3c\ud2b8 \ubd84\uc11d<\/p>\n<p>\ub9db \uc720\ud615\ubcc4: \uc77c\ubc18 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc9c0\ubc30, \uac00\ud5a5 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uac00\uc18d\ud654<br \/>\n2025\ub144 \uc77c\ubc18 \ub2f4\ubc30\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc758 85.24%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801\uc778 \uc704\uce58\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uac00\ud5a5 \ub2f4\ubc30\ub294 \ucea1\uc290 \uae30\uc220 \ub3c4\uc785\uc73c\ub85c \uba58\ud1a8 \uae08\uc9c0 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6b0\ud68c\ud558\uba70 3.45%\uc758 CAGR\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. EU\uc758 2020\ub144 \uba58\ud1a8 \uae08\uc9c0 \uc774\ud6c4, \ub9d0\ubcf4\ub85c \uc544\uc774\uc2a4 \ube14\ub77c\uc2a4\ud2b8(Marlboro Ice Blast) \ubc0f \ub7ed\ud0a4 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub77c\uc774\ud06c \ud074\ub9ad(Lucky Strike Click)\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ucea1\uc290 \ub2f4\ubc30\ub294 \uac00\ud5a5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9\uc758 60%\ub97c \ud68c\ubcf5\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uaddc\uc81c \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \ub354 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uac00\ud5a5 \uae08\uc9c0\ub97c \ub17c\uc758 \uc911\uc774\uba70, \ud64d\ucf69\uc740 2027\ub144 \uc804\uba74 \uae08\uc9c0\ub97c \uc2dc\ud589\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud615\uc2dd\ubcc4: \ud0b9\uc0ac\uc774\uc988 \ub2f4\ubc30\uac00 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801, \uc2ac\ub9bc \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc131\uc7a5 \uac00\uc18d\ud654<br \/>\n2025\ub144 \ud0b9\uc0ac\uc774\uc988 \ub2f4\ubc30\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9\uc758 52.38%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc288\ud37c \uc2ac\ub9bc \ub2f4\ubc30 \ub77c\uc778\uc740 3.32%\uc758 CAGR\ub85c \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc5ec\uc131\uacfc \uc80a\uc740 \uc131\uc778\uc744 \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub9ac\ud2f0\uc2dc \uc544\uba54\ub9ac\uce78 \ud1a0\ubc14\ucf54(BAT)\uc758 \ubcf4\uadf8(Vogue)\uc640 \ud544\ub9bd\ubaa8\ub9ac\uc2a4(Philip Morris)\uc758 \ubc84\uc9c0\ub2c8\uc544 \uc2ac\ub9bc(Virginia Slims)\uc740 2025\ub144 \uc720\ub7fd\uacfc \ubd81\ubbf8 \uc804\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c 5.7%\uc758 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2ac\ub9bc \ub2f4\ubc30 \ud615\uc2dd\uc740 \ud2b9\uc218 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uacf5\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 20~30%\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uce74\ud14c\uace0\ub9ac\ubcc4: \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc131\uc7a5 \uac00\uc18d\ud654<br \/>\n2025\ub144 \ub300\uc911 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc\ub294 \uc804\uccb4 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc758 90.28%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ud310\ub9e4\ub294 \uc5f0\uac04 4.02%\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\ub85c \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc911\ud654(Chunghwa) \ubc0f \ud310\ub2e4(Panda)\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc\uac00 \ud329\ub2f9 100~150\uc704\uc548(14~21\ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc5d0 \ud310\ub9e4\ub418\uba70 \uace0\uae09 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc11c\uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uc120\ub3c4\uc801\uc778 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc\uc778 \ub9d0\ubcf4\ub85c \uace8\ub4dc(Marlboro Gold)\ub294 \ud329\ub2f9 10\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ud310\ub9e4\ub418\uba70 2025\ub144 6.3%\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9 \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucd5c\uc885 \uc0ac\uc6a9\uc790\ubcc4: \uc5ec\uc131 \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \uc778\uad6c \ud1b5\uacc4\ud559\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654 \uc8fc\ub3c4<br \/>\n2025\ub144 \ub0a8\uc131\uc774 \uc804\uccb4 \uc18c\ube44\ub7c9\uc758 84.56%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5ec\uc131\uc740 3.38%\uc758 CAGR\ub85c \uac00\uc7a5 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc9d1\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5ec\uc131 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc758 \ube44\uc728\uc740 6.8%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ubca0\ud2b8\ub0a8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 3.2%\ub85c \ub450 \ubc30 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\ub294 \uc778\uad6c \ud1b5\uacc4\uc5d0 \uc5b4\ud544\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc \uc18c\uc720\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc2ac\ub9bc \uc81c\ud488 \ud615\uc2dd \ub3c4\uc785, \ud30c\uc2a4\ud154 \uc0c9\uc0c1 \ud3ec\uc7a5 \uc0ac\uc6a9, \ub77c\uc774\ud504\uc2a4\ud0c0\uc77c \uc9c0\ud5a5 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0 \ud1b5\ud569\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ucc44\ud0dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\ud1b5 \ucc44\ub110\ubcc4: \ub514\uc9c0\ud138 \uc804\ud658\uc774 \uc18c\ub9e4 \ud658\uacbd \uc7ac\ud3b8<br \/>\n2025\ub144 \ud3b8\uc758\uc810 \ubc0f \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\uc810\uc740 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uac00\uc6a9\uc131\uacfc \ucda9\ub3d9 \uad6c\ub9e4\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 45.57%\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc628\ub77c\uc778 \uc18c\ub9e4\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc791\uc740 \ubd80\ubb38\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ucde8\uc57d\ud55c \uc5f0\ub839 \ud655\uc778 \ud504\ub85c\ud1a0\ucf5c\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec 3.22%\uc758 \uafb8\uc900\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uaddc\uc81c \uc81c\ud55c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, 2025\ub144 \uc911\uad6d \ub3c4\uc2dc \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc628\ub77c\uc778 \ud310\ub9e4\ub294 \uc804\uccb4 \ud310\ub9e4\uc758 \uac70\uc758 10%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p># \uc9c0\uc5ed \ubd84\uc11d<\/p>\n<p>*   \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591: 2025\ub144 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc758 48.26%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 2031\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uac04 3.47%\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\ub85c \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc744 \uc120\ub3c4\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uac70\ub300\ud55c \uc778\uad6c, \uc18c\ub4dd \uc99d\uac00, \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc644\ud654\ub41c \uaddc\uc81c \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0 \uae30\uc778\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc18c\ube44\ub7c9\uc758 40~45%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\uba70, \uc911\uad6d\uad6d\uac00\ub2f4\ubc30\ucd1d\uacf5\uc0ac(China National Tobacco Corporation)\ub294 \uc5f0\uac04 2\uc870 3\ucc9c\uc5b5 \uac1c\ube44 \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc778\ub3c4\uc758 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2025\ub144 4.1% \uc131\uc7a5\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uacf5\uc2dd \ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc640 \ube44\ub514(beedis) \ubc0f \uc78e\ub2f4\ubc30\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\ud658\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc740 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2025\ub144 2.1%\uc758 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9 \uac10\uc18c\ub97c \uacaa\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\ud654\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uac00\uce58 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>*   \uc720\ub7fd: 2025\ub144 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc758 22~24%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uac04 1.2~1.8%\uc758 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9 \uac10\uc18c\ub97c \uacaa\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubb34\uc9c0 \ud3ec\uc7a5, \ub192\uc740 \uc18c\ube44\uc138, \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ud761\uc5f0 \uae08\uc9c0\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc694\uc778\ub4e4\uc774 \uc18c\ube44\ub97c \uac10\uc18c\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 11\uc6d4 \ud1b5\uacfc\ub41c \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \ub2f4\ubc30 \ubc0f \uc804\uc790\ub2f4\ubc30 \ubc95\uc548(Tobacco and Vapes Bill)\uc740 2009\ub144 1\uc6d4 1\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd9c\uc0dd\uc790\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud310\ub9e4\ub97c \uae08\uc9c0\ud558\uc5ec 15~20\ub144\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \ud569\ubc95\uc801\uc778 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3d0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>*   \ubd81\ubbf8: 2025\ub144 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9\uc758 15~17%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc131\uc778 \ud761\uc5f0\uc728\uc774 12% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc5f0\uac04 2.5% \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9 \uac10\uc18c\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 1\uc6d4 FDA\uc758 \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uadf8\ub7a8\ub2f9 0.7\ubc00\ub9ac\uadf8\ub7a8\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc81c\uc548\uc740 \ub2f4\ubc30\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0 \uc804\uc790\ub2f4\ubc30\ub85c\uc758 \uc804\ud658 \ub610\ub294 \uae08\uc5f0\uc744 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc778 \uaddc\uc81c \uac1c\uc785\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>*   \ub0a8\ubbf8: \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8, \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098, \ucf5c\ub86c\ube44\uc544\uac00 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\uba70 2025\ub144 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9\uc758 6~8%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uac04 2.8%\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc18c\ub4dd \uc99d\uac00\uc640 18~22% \uc0ac\uc774\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud761\uc5f0\uc728\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc740 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>*   \uc911\ub3d9 \ubc0f \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74: 2025\ub144 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9\uc758 8~10%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uac04 3.1%\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc9d1\ud2b8, \ud130\ud0a4, \ub0a8\uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\uac00 \ud310\ub9e4\ub7c9 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\uacfc \ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uacfc\uc81c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p># \uacbd\uc7c1 \ud658\uacbd<\/p>\n<p>\ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\uad6d\uc801 \ub2f4\ubc30 \ud68c\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc774 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ucc28\uc138\ub300 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\ub294 \uace0\ub3c4\ub85c \ud1b5\ud569\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud544\ub9bd\ubaa8\ub9ac\uc2a4 \uc778\ud130\ub0b4\uc154\ub110(Philip Morris International) \ubc0f \ube0c\ub9ac\ud2f0\uc2dc \uc544\uba54\ub9ac\uce78 \ud1a0\ubc14\ucf54(British American Tobacco)\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ud68c\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc740 \uac74\uac15 \ubb38\uc81c\uc640 \uaddc\uc81c \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \ub2f4\ubc30\uc758 \ub300\uc548\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ucd09\uc9c4\ud558\ub294 \uc120\uc9c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uc5f4 \ub2f4\ubc30 \ubc0f \uc804\uc790\ub2f4\ubc30\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc704\ud574 \uc800\uac10 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ub9c9\ub300\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacbd\uc7c1\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ub300\uae30\uc5c5\uacfc \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc804\ubb38 \uae30\uc5c5 \uac04\uc5d0 \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uad6d\uc801 \uae30\uc5c5\uc740 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc720\ud1b5\ub9dd\uacfc \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc774\uc810\uc744 \uc5bb\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uc9c0\uc5ed \uae30\uc5c5\uc740 \ud604\uc9c0 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc120\ud638\ub3c4\uc640 \uc720\ud1b5\uc5c5\uccb4 \uad00\uacc4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc774\ud574\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc640 \uc9c0\ub9ac\uc801 \ud655\uc7a5\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc758 \uc778\uc218 \ud569\ubcd1\uc774 \uae09\uc99d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f4\ubc30(Japan Tobacco)\uc758 \ubc29\uae00\ub77c\ub370\uc2dc Akij Group \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc0ac\uc5c5 \uc778\uc218\ub294 \uace0\uc131\uc7a5 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc785\uc9c0\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc54c\ud2b8\ub9ac\uc544(Altria)\uc640 \ud544\ub9bd\ubaa8\ub9ac\uc2a4 \uc778\ud130\ub0b4\uc154\ub110(Philip Morris International) \uac04\uc758 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4 IQOS \ub9c8\ucf00\ud305 \ud611\ub825\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc81c\ud734\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uacbd\uc7c1 \uc6b0\uc704\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc694 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790:<br \/>\n*   \ube0c\ub9ac\ud2f0\uc2dc \uc544\uba54\ub9ac\uce78 \ud1a0\ubc14\ucf54(British American Tobacco PLC)<br \/>\n*   \uc54c\ud2b8\ub9ac\uc544 \uadf8\ub8f9(Altria Group Inc.)<br \/>\n*   \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc778\ud130\ub0b4\uc154\ub110(Japan Tobacco International)<br \/>\n*   ITC \ub9ac\ubbf8\ud2f0\ub4dc*   \uc784\ud398\ub9ac\uc5bc \ube0c\ub79c\uc988(Imperial Brands PLC)<br \/>\n*   \ud544\ub9bd\ubaa8\ub9ac\uc2a4 \uc778\ud130\ub0b4\uc154\ub110(Philip Morris International Inc.)<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc740 \ud601\uc2e0\uc801\uc778 \uc81c\ud488 \uac1c\ubc1c, \ub9c8\ucf00\ud305 \uc804\ub7b5, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc801\uc778 \uc720\ud1b5\ub9dd\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788, \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc81c\ud488 \uc678\uc5d0 \uc804\uc790\ub2f4\ubc30, \uad90\ub828\ud615 \uc804\uc790\ub2f4\ubc30(HnB), \uad6c\uac15 \ub2f4\ubc30 \ub4f1 \uc2e0\uaddc \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \uc81c\ud488(NTPs)\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ud655\uc7a5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubbf8\ub798 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ub825\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ub178\ub825\uc774 \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uaddc\uc81c \ud658\uacbd\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\uc640 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uac74\uac15\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc778\uc2dd\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2e0\uaddc \uc81c\ud488\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5c5\uacc4\uc758 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc804\ud658\uc810\uc774 \ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac01 \uae30\uc5c5\uc740 \uc5f0\uad6c \uac1c\ubc1c\uc5d0 \ub9c9\ub300\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \ud558\uc5ec \uc720\ud574\uc131 \uc800\uac10 \uc81c\ud488(RRPs)\uc744 \uc120\ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \ud761\uc5f0\uc728 \uac10\uc18c \ucd94\uc138 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ucc3d\ucd9c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud3ec\uad04\uc801\uc778 \ubd84\uc11d\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc815\uc758, \uc5f0\uad6c \ubc29\ubc95\ub860, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ud5a5, \uc131\uc7a5 \uc608\uce21 \ubc0f \uacbd\uc7c1 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uc0c1\uc138\ud788 \ub2e4\ub8f9\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc815\uc758 \ubc0f \ubc94\uc704:<br \/>\n\ubcf8 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uad00\uc138\uac00 \ub0a9\ubd80\ub418\uace0 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud569\ubc95\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ud1b5\ub418\ub294 \uacf5\uc7a5 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc5f0\ucd08 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2a4\ud2f1\uc758 \uac00\uce58\ub85c \uc815\uc758\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uce58\ub294 2025\ub144 \ubd88\ubcc0 USD \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uc911 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc18c\ub9e4 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc801\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd88\ubc95 \uac70\ub798, \uc9c1\uc811 \ub9d0\uc544 \ud53c\uc6b0\ub294 \ub2f4\ubc30(RYO), \uc2dc\uac00, \uad90\ub828\ud615 \uc804\uc790\ub2f4\ubc30, \uc804\uc790\ub2f4\ubc30, \ud544\ud130 \ubc0f \ud3ec\uc7a5\uc7ac\ub294 \ubcf8 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc758 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c\uc678\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uad6c \ubc29\ubc95\ub860:<br \/>\n\uc5f0\uad6c\ub294 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591, \uc720\ub7fd, \ubbf8\uc8fc \ubc0f \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74 \uc804\uc5ed\uc758 \uc720\ud1b5\uc5c5\uccb4, \uc138\ubb34 \uacf5\ubb34\uc6d0, \uae08\uc5f0 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8 \ub2f4\ub2f9\uc790 \ub4f1\uacfc\uc758 \uc2ec\uce35 \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\ub97c \ud1b5\ud55c 1\ucc28 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc640 WHO \ub2f4\ubc30 \ud1b5\uacc4, UN Comtrade, \uad6d\uac00 \uc18c\ube44\uc138 \uc9d5\uc218\uc561, IMF \uc18c\ub9e4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218, \uc8fc\uc694 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc7ac\ubb34 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \ubc0f \ud2b9\ud5c8 \ubd84\uc11d \ub4f1 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c 2\ucc28 \uc790\ub8cc \uc870\uc0ac\ub97c \uacb0\ud569\ud558\uc5ec \uc218\ud589\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 2025\ub144 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uad00\uc138\uac00 \ub0a9\ubd80\ub41c \uc2a4\ud2f1 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc5d0 \uad6d\uac00\ubcc4 \uac00\uc911 \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uacf1\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc2dd \uc811\uadfc \ubc29\uc2dd\uacfc \uacf5\uae09\uc5c5\uccb4 \uc9d1\uacc4 \ubc0f \uc0d8\ud50c\ub9c1\ub41c \ucc44\ub110 \uac10\uc0ac\ub97c \ud1b5\ud55c \ud558\ud5a5\uc2dd \uac80\uc99d\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc7ac\uad6c\uc131\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144\ubd80\ud130 2030\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc608\uce21\uc740 \uc131\uc778 \ud761\uc5f0\uc728, \uc18c\ube44\uc138 \ubd80\ub2f4, \uac00\ucc98\ubd84 \uc18c\ub4dd, \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc810\uc720\uc728, \uac00\uaca9 \ud0c4\ub825\uc131 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub3d9\uc778\uc744 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \ub2e4\ubcc0\ub7c9 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubd84\uc11d \ubc0f ARIMA \uc624\ubc84\ub808\uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, \uae09\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc138\uae08 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774\ub098 \ud5a5\ub8cc \uae08\uc9c0 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ub3d9\ub8cc \uac80\ud1a0, \uc790\ub3d9\ud654\ub41c \ud3b8\ucc28 \uc2a4\uce94 \ubc0f \uc120\uc784 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00 \uc2b9\uc778\uc744 \uac70\uccd0 \uc2e0\ub8b0\uc131\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uba70, \ub9e4\ub144 \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub3d9\uc778 \ubc0f \uc81c\uc57d:<br \/>\n\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uacac\uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub3d9\uc778\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \uc911\ub3c5\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ucda9\uc131\ub3c4, \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\ud654 \ucd94\uc138 \uc2ec\ud654, \uc2e0\ud765 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uac00\ucc98\ubd84 \uc18c\ub4dd \uc99d\uac00, \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uae30\uc220 \ubc1c\uc804, \ubc00\ub808\ub2c8\uc5bc \uc138\ub300 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc778 \ub9c8\ucf00\ud305 \ubc0f \ub610\ub798 \uc601\ud5a5, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ud5c8\ube0c \ubc0f \ubb34\ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \ud5a5\uc758 \ub3c4\uc785 \ub4f1\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74, \ub2c8\ucf54\ud2f4 \uc0c1\ud55c\uc81c \ubc0f \uc77c\ubc18 \ud3ec\uc7a5\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc5c4\uaca9\ud55c \uaddc\uc81c, \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac74\uac15 \uc778\uc2dd \uc99d\uac00, \uc804\uc790\ub2f4\ubc30\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ubb34\uc5f0 \ub300\uccb4\uc7ac\ub85c\uc758 \uc804\ud658, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uacf5\uc911 \ubcf4\uac74 \ucea0\ud398\uc778\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uc800\ud574\ud558\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc81c\uc57d \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc138\ubd84\ud654 \ubc0f \uc131\uc7a5 \uc608\uce21:<br \/>\n\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ub9db \uc720\ud615(\uac00\ud5a5, \ubb34\ud5a5), \ud615\uc2dd(\uc2ac\ub9bc, \uc288\ud37c \uc2ac\ub9bc, \ud0b9\uc0ac\uc774\uc988, \ub808\uade4\ub7ec), \uce74\ud14c\uace0\ub9ac(\ub300\uc911, \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4), \ucd5c\uc885 \uc0ac\uc6a9\uc790(\ub0a8\uc131, \uc5ec\uc131), \uc720\ud1b5 \ucc44\ub110(\ud3b8\uc758\uc810\/\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\uc810, \uc804\ubb38\uc810, \uc628\ub77c\uc778 \uc18c\ub9e4\uc810 \ub4f1), \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ubd81\ubbf8, \uc720\ub7fd, \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591, \ub0a8\ubbf8, \uc911\ub3d9 \ubc0f \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc9c0\uc5ed\ubcc4\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc138\ubd84\ud654\ud558\uc5ec \ubd84\uc11d\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 7,708\uc5b5 9\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 2031\ub144 8,212\uc5b5 1\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 2.25% \uc131\uc7a5\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc5ed\ubcc4\ub85c\ub294 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc774 2025\ub144 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc758 48.26%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uae30\uc5ec\ub97c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 2031\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 3.47%\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud615\uc2dd\ubcc4\ub85c\ub294 \uc288\ud37c \uc2ac\ub9bc \ud615\uc2dd\uc774 \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 3.32%\ub85c \uac00\uc7a5 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\ub294 \ubd80\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uce74\ud14c\uace0\ub9ac\ubcc4\ub85c\ub294 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc81c\ud488\uc774 \uc804\uccb4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 10% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc744 \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5f0\ud3c9\uade0 4.02%\ub85c \uc804\uccb4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc758 \uac70\uc758 \ub450 \ubc30\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud558\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacbd\uc7c1 \ud658\uacbd:<br \/>\n\uacbd\uc7c1 \ud658\uacbd \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 China National Tobacco Corporation, Philip Morris International, British American Tobacco PLC, Japan Tobacco International, Imperial Brands PLC, Altria Group Inc., ITC Limited, KT&#038;G Corp. \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubc0f \uc9c0\uc5ed \ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9d1\uc911\ub3c4, \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \ubc0f \uae30\uc5c5 \ud504\ub85c\ud544\uc744 \ub2e4\ub8f9\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2f4\ubc30 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud604\uc7ac \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc640 \ubbf8\ub798 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ucd9c\ubc1c\uc810\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uba70, \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc758\uc0ac\uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ud1b5\ucc30\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31319","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31319"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31319"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31319\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31319"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31319"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.globalresearch.co.kr\/insight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31319"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}